“The USA is facing an existential threat in the form of China, that is much more challenging than the erstwhile Soviet Union.” Explain.

GS 2
International Relations
2021
10 Marks

Subject: International Relations

The emergence of China as a global superpower presents unprecedented challenges to US hegemony, surpassing the Cold War rivalry with the Soviet Union in complexity and scope. The Sino-US competition has evolved into a multidimensional contest spanning economic, technological, and strategic domains.

Economic and Trade Dimensions

  • China's robust economic growth at 5% in 2024 compared to US's 2.8% demonstrates its growing economic muscle and resilience.
  • Unlike the Soviet Union's isolated economy, China is deeply integrated into global supply chains and trade networks.
  • The decreasing US trade deficit to $773.4 billion in 2023 reflects ongoing economic interdependence and complexity of decoupling.

Military and Strategic Challenges

  • According to the 2024 Department of Defense China Military Power Report, China's military modernization includes:
    • Expansion of nuclear arsenal to over 600 warheads.
    • Advanced capabilities in hypersonic missiles and naval forces.
  • China's Belt and Road Initiative provides strategic advantages through:
    • Potential military presence in multiple locations including Cambodia, UAE, and Solomon Islands.
    • Single confirmed overseas base in Djibouti, with possibilities of expansion.

Technological Competition

  • Unlike the Soviet era, China competes in cutting-edge technologies like:
    • Artificial Intelligence.
    • 5G Communications.
    • Quantum Computing.
  • China's technological advancement poses threats to US intelligence and military superiority.

Diplomatic and Ideological Challenge

  • The November 2023 Biden-Xi Summit highlights the need for:
    • Managing differences through diplomatic channels.
    • Balancing competition with cooperation.
  • China's alternative governance model challenges Western democratic values while maintaining economic prosperity.

Global Influence

  • China's influence extends beyond military might through:
    • Economic partnerships and investments.
    • Cultural diplomacy and soft power projection.
    • Growing presence in international institutions.

The challenge posed by China is more nuanced and complex than the Soviet threat due to its economic integration, technological prowess, and diplomatic influence. The Biden Administration's Indo-Pacific Strategy and strengthening of alliances like QUAD and AUKUS reflect the multifaceted approach needed to address this 21st-century challenge.

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