The Fifteenth Finance Commission (XVFC) recommended the following criteria and weights for horizontal tax devolution among states for the 2021-26 period:
- Income Distance (45%): The distance of a state’s income from the state with the highest income.
- Population (15%): Based on the 2011 Census data.
- Area (15%): To account for the higher cost of providing services in larger geographical areas.
- Forest and Ecology (10%): Calculated based on the share of the dense forest of each state in the total dense forest of all states.
- Demographic Performance (12.5%): This criterion was introduced to reward states that have made progress in lowering their fertility rates (using 1971 population data as a benchmark).
- Tax and Fiscal Efforts (2.5%): To reward states with higher tax collection efficiency.
Analysis of the given list:
- Demographic performance: Included (Criterion 5)
- Forest and ecology: Included (Criterion 4)
- Tax and fiscal efforts: Included (Criterion 6)
- Governance reforms: Not included as a criterion for horizontal devolution.
- Stable government: Not included as a criterion for horizontal devolution.
Apart from population, area, and income distance, the Commission used three criteria from the list provided (Demographic performance, Forest and ecology, and Tax and fiscal efforts).