GS 3: Environment & EcologyGS 1: Indian GeographyGS 3: EconomyPrelims

Climate change could shrink grazing area by half by 2100, Pg12

Climate change threatens global grazing lands, potentially shrinking suitable areas by 50% by 2100, impacting millions of pastoralists.

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Key Highlights:

  • Scientists project a 36-50% decrease in suitable grazing areas globally by 2100, particularly impacting Africa.
  • An estimated 110-140 million pastoralists and 1.4-1.6 billion grazing animals could be affected worldwide.
  • Grazing suitability is expected to expand inland in Asia, specifically in Kazakhstan and Iran.

Detailed Insights:

  • The projected losses of grazing areas are concentrated in countries already struggling with poverty, hunger, gender inequality, and political instability.
  • Climate projections until 2100 considered factors like temperature, rainfall, and humidity to determine changes in grazing suitability.
  • Shrinking grazing lands could exacerbate existing socio-economic challenges and potentially lead to increased resource conflicts and displacement of communities.

Key Concepts Involved:

  • Pastoralists: People who raise livestock as their primary means of subsistence, often moving their herds to find fresh pasture.
  • Climate Projections: Scientific predictions about future climate conditions based on models that incorporate various factors like greenhouse gas emissions.
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