New GDP Series: 28 Out Of 30 Mfg Categories Used Double Deflation, Pg15

New GDP series adopts 'double deflation' for 28 manufacturing categories, enhancing real growth estimates, as per MoSPI's 'Sources and Methods' document.

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Key Highlights:

  • The new Gross Domestic Product (GDP) series now employs the 'double deflation' method in 28 out of 30 manufacturing categories.
  • The Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI) released the 'Sources and Methods' document detailing these changes.
  • The base year for the new GDP series is 2022-23.
  • Two manufacturing categories, due to high imported inputs, currently do not use double deflation.

Detailed Insights:

  • Double deflation is a method where both input and output values are adjusted by their respective inflation rates to calculate real Gross Value Added (GVA).
  • Previously, MoSPI applied double deflation only to the agriculture and mining and quarrying sectors.
  • Using a single deflator for both inputs and outputs can lead to inaccurate real growth estimates if their prices change at different rates.
  • The timely release of the 'Sources and Methods' document, seven months after the new GDP series, marks the shortest time taken for its publication.
  • This document consolidates concepts, definitions, data sources, and compilation practices for the new GDP series.
  • It integrates recommendations from sub-committees of the Advisory Committee on National Accounts Statistics.

Key Concepts Involved:

  • Double Deflation: A statistical method used to calculate real Gross Value Added (GVA) by separately deflating the value of output and the value of intermediate consumption.
  • Gross Value Added (GVA): The measure of the value of goods and services produced in an area, industry, or sector of an economy, minus the cost of inputs and raw materials.
  • Base Year: A reference year used for calculating economic indicators like GDP, allowing for comparison of real growth over time by removing the effect of price changes.
  • Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI): The central government agency responsible for the development of national accounts statistics and statistical coordination in India.
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