AI's complex impact on Indian employment extends beyond layoffs, affecting fresher hiring and necessitating better data for effective reskilling policies.
TCS, India's largest IT services firm, reported its strongest quarterly hiring in nearly four years, adding over 9,000 employees, following 12,000 job cuts a year prior.
Entry-level tech job openings in mid-2024 were down over 40% from the previous year, indicating a significant reduction in fresher intake across corporate India.
Recruiters attribute the decline in fresher hiring partly to AI-driven redeployment and a correction of aggressive pandemic-era hiring.
New job streams, such as data annotation, are emerging, with companies like Bengaluru-based Karya employing rural workers for AI dataset creation.
The article highlights a critical data gap, noting that current labor surveys like the Periodic Labour Force Survey (PLFS) do not track AI exposure at the occupation level.
Detailed Insights:
The initial job cuts by TCS were explained by its CEO as due to skill mismatches and deployment feasibility, rather than directly AI-driven productivity gains.
The IT industry's aggressive hiring during the pandemic is seen as a factor, with current reductions potentially being a delayed correction of that excess.
A significant impact of AI on Indian employment may manifest as jobs that are simply never created, particularly affecting fresh graduates.
The share of employees under 30 at Infosys has fallen to its lowest level in 15 years, reflecting the broader trend of reduced entry-level hiring.
While new jobs are created, such as in data annotation, the economic value of these roles may differ significantly from traditional mid-career tech jobs.
Global Capability Centres (GCCs) in India now employ over two million professionals, representing a growing segment of the AI economy.
The article emphasizes the need for India to invest in understanding the precise nature of job shifts before implementing large-scale reskilling initiatives.
Key Concepts Involved:
Periodic Labour Force Survey (PLFS): An Indian government survey that measures employment and unemployment indicators across various sectors.
Global Capability Centres (GCCs): Offshore units of multinational corporations that perform various functions, including IT, R&D, and business processes.
Data Annotation: The process of labeling data (images, text, audio) to make it usable for training machine learning models.