Myanmar's military junta, led by Min Aung Hlaing, continues its war against its own people following the 2021 coup and a recent sham election.
Over 100,000 people are estimated to have died since the 2021 coup due to fighting between the junta and anti-coup forces.
International indifference, exacerbated by other global conflicts, has allowed the junta to act with impunity.
Russia and China are identified as principal arms suppliers to the junta, with China also engaging with ethnic armed organizations.
ASEAN's Five-Point Consensus for peace in Myanmar is largely disregarded by its member states, who continue to conduct business with the regime.
India, China, and the U.S. are pursuing strategic and economic interests in Myanmar, including access to rare earths and trade routes.
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Detailed Insights:
The ongoing conflict involves the junta, People's Defence Forces, and various ethnic armed organisations battling for territorial control.
The junta employs airstrikes on villages in rebel-held areas to terrorize communities and suppress resistance.
China has intervened to pressure some ethnic armed organizations into ceasefires and returning seized territory following their late 2023 offensive.
The U.S. reportedly held secret talks with the junta in Tokyo and Naypyidaw, while Japan advocates for Myanmar's removal from the Financial Action Task Force blacklist.
China seeks an outlet to the Indian Ocean and security for its oil and gas pipelines, engaging with both the junta and groups like the Kachin Independence Organisation.
India aims to revive its Act East Policy and the Kaladan Multi-Modal Transit Transport Project to enhance connectivity with Southeast Asia.
The U.S. is interested in accessing vital heavy rare earths such as dysprosium and terbium, crucial for electric vehicles and weapons systems.
Critics argue that these international engagements overlook the ongoing violence and the junta's inability to establish lasting peace.
Key Concepts Involved:
Junta: A military or political group that rules a country after taking power by force.
Five-Point Consensus: ASEAN's diplomatic initiative for Myanmar, calling for an immediate cessation of violence and constructive dialogue.
Act East Policy: India's foreign policy to strengthen economic, strategic, and cultural relations with the Asia-Pacific region.
Kaladan Multi-Modal Transit Transport Project: A project connecting India's eastern seaport of Kolkata with Sittwe port in Myanmar, and then via river and road to Mizoram.
Financial Action Task Force (FATF): An intergovernmental organization that sets international standards to combat money laundering and terrorist financing.