Why risk-monitoring in the Himalayas is like looking for 'needles in haystacks', Pg17
Nepal floods highlight extreme challenges in monitoring rapidly evolving Himalayan hazards, demanding integrated remote sensing and local community engagement for effective disaster preparedness.
Recent floods in Nepal were triggered by a glacial detachment, possibly involving bedrock, on the northern slopes of Langtang Lirung peak in the Langtang range.
The event created a temporary natural dam on the Lhende River, which subsequently failed, sending a massive flood pulse downstream.
The flood, described as a "thousand-year-plus event," caused significant destruction over 100 kilometers, affecting hydropower projects and villages in Nuwakot district.
The incident highlights the increasing frequency and intensity of cascading hazard chains in the Himalayas, similar to events like the South Lhonak GLOF in Sikkim.
Monitoring every potential hazard site in the Himalayas is challenging, requiring a multi-pronged approach combining remote sensing, fixed stations, and local community involvement.
Detailed Insights:
The exact triggering process of the glacial detachment is not fully understood but may be linked to climate-related risks or gradual shifts.
The flood pulse reached the China border in approximately nine minutes, sweeping away individuals who could have issued alerts.
The event destroyed dams and hydropower projects and affected market towns in the floodplains, extending beyond typical flood zones.
Previous similar events in the region include the Chamoli disaster and the Melamchi disaster in Nepal.
Most extreme events in the Himalayas over the last decade originated from previously unidentified locations, except for the South Lhonak GLOF.
India's Home Ministry and space agencies undertake mapping exercises for glacial lakes and hazards, a level of resource Nepal currently lacks.
A comprehensive monitoring strategy requires remote sensing, fixed station networks (hydromet and seismic), and localized community monitoring.
Engaging local communities, including yak herders and fishermen, and utilizing oral histories can help identify potential hotspots and changes.
Key Concepts Involved:
Glacial Detachment: The separation of a mass of ice and rock from a glacier, often leading to landslides or floods.
Cascading Hazards: A series of interconnected natural hazards where one event triggers subsequent, often more severe, events.
Glacial Lake Outburst Flood (GLOF): A sudden release of water from a glacial lake, often caused by the failure of a natural dam.
Remote Sensing: The acquisition of information about an object or phenomenon without making physical contact, typically using satellites or aircraft.