Analysis of 1,046 hydrological stations in China shows declines in streamflow in at least 70% of them between 1956-2016.
Land-use and vegetation cover changes (LUCC) are the primary cause of these declines, followed by climate change variability (CCV) and water abstraction (WADR).
593 stations in central and northern China saw streamflow decrease by up to 40%, while 163 stations decreased by more than 40%.
Climate change had a greater propensity to increase flows when the average flow was increasing.
Detailed Insights:
The study, published in Science Advances, analyzed data from 1,046 stations across nearly 1,500 rivers in China, segregating factors influencing streamflow.
LUCC and CCV contributed almost equally to changes in streamflow, with natural climate variability having a slightly stronger contribution.
For 756 stations reporting a declining trend, CCV enhanced the decrease at 53% and dampened it at 47%, suggesting a counterbalancing effect.
Streamflow declines may pose a threat to ecosystems, environments, socioeconomics, and agriculture, potentially leading to water crises in dry regions of northern China.
While China's analysis mirrors tropical hydrological situations like India, the Central Water Commission data suggests no significant decline in water availability in major Indian rivers over the last 20 years.
Per capita annual water availability in India has progressively dropped due to increasing population, urbanization, and changing lifestyles.
Key Concepts Involved:
Land-Use and Vegetation Cover Change (LUCC): Alterations to the natural landscape, including deforestation, agriculture, and urbanization.
Climate Change Variability (CCV): Fluctuations in climate patterns, including changes in precipitation, temperature, and extreme weather events.
Water Abstraction, Diversion, and Regulation (WADR): Human activities that modify natural water flow, such as irrigation, dams, and reservoirs.