The RBI has urged state governments to reduce debt levels, mirroring the Centre's strategy, as high debt hinders investment and growth.
States' combined debt decreased to 28.1% of GDP by March 2024, from a high of 31% in March 2021, but is projected to rise to 29.2% by the end of FY26.
The RBI study reveals that individual states' debt-to-GSDP ratio is projected to range from 17.8% to 46.3% by March 2026, with many exceeding 30%.
The Fiscal Responsibility and Budget Management Review Committee recommended an upper limit of 20% of GSDP for state debt.
Detailed Insights:
Elevated debt levels at both the Central and state levels are considered a weakness in India's public finances by global ratings agencies.
The Centre aims to reduce its debt-to-GDP ratio to 50% by 2030-31 from 56.1% in the current fiscal year, prompting the RBI to suggest states adopt a similar debt consolidation path.
High debt burdens states' finances, as interest payments consume a larger portion of revenue, leading to reduced productive expenditures and hindering medium-term growth.
The surge in debt during the pandemic year of 2020-21, due to economic contraction and increased public spending, has further exacerbated the debt situation for states.
Key Concepts Involved:
Debt-to-GDP Ratio: The ratio of a country's total debt to its gross domestic product (GDP), used to assess its ability to pay back its debts.
GSDP (Gross State Domestic Product): A measure of the total value of goods and services produced within a state's boundaries during a specific period.
Fiscal Responsibility and Budget Management (FRBM) Act: Indian law to ensure fiscal discipline, reduce the fiscal deficit and improve macroeconomic management.