Delhi experienced relatively better air quality in recent months due to early monsoon retreat and western-disturbance-induced rainfall.
A likely transition towards a La Niña phase by mid-October 2025, with a 71% probability, could further improve air quality.
Delayed paddy harvest in Punjab and Haryana, caused by severe floods, postponed stubble burning, preventing it from coinciding with Diwali.
Despite relaxed restrictions allowing green firecrackers, pollution levels spiked on Diwali night, highlighting implementation challenges.
Detailed Insights:
Delayed monsoon withdrawals, linked to climate change, typically worsen air quality by slowing winds and trapping pollutants.
The early monsoon retreat in 2025 kept winds active and rainfall continued to wash the air, curbing pollution build-up.
Strong La Niña events can enhance surface wind speeds over northern India, dispersing fine particulates and reducing winter smog.
Delayed paddy harvest shortens the window for wheat sowing, potentially leading to increased stubble burning due to the need for quick field clearance.
Green firecrackers still emit a significant amount of pollutants, and their impact is limited without diligent implementation and monitoring.
Long-term solutions, such as tackling source emissions and adopting an airshed-based approach, are crucial for sustainable air quality management.
The National Air Quality Resource Framework of India (NARFI), prepared by NIAS, aims to achieve self-reliance (atmanirbharta) in air quality management.
Key Concepts Involved:
La Niña: A climate pattern characterized by cooler-than-average sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean.
Airshed: A geographic area that shares a common air supply, often used for managing air pollution sources and impacts.
Stubble Burning: The practice of setting fire to crop residue after harvest, which is a major source of air pollution.