GS 3: EconomyPrelims

INDIA'S OIL TRADE DEFICIT SET TO BALLOON, Pg17

India's oil trade deficit projected to surge amid West Asia tensions and Brent crude prices may hit $95/barrel by FY27.

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Key Highlights:

  • India's oil trade deficit is projected to increase due to the ongoing West Asia conflict.
  • Global Brent crude prices have surged as a result of the conflict.
  • Crisil projects average oil prices of $90-95 per barrel in FY27.

Detailed Insights:

  • Geopolitical instability in West Asia is a major factor impacting global oil supply and prices.
  • Rising crude oil prices will increase India's import bill, widening the trade deficit.
  • A higher oil trade deficit can put pressure on India's current account deficit and currency.

Key Concepts Involved:

  • Trade Deficit: The amount by which the cost of a country's imports exceeds the value of its exports.
  • Brent Crude: A major global benchmark for oil prices, particularly for oil from the Atlantic basin.
  • Current Account Deficit: A measurement of a country's trade where the value of the goods and services it imports exceeds the value of the products it exports.
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