The Indian government is considering measures to address the falling rupee, including raising import duties on gold, silver, and platinum.
Sovereign Gold Bonds (SGBs), launched in 2015 and discontinued in early 2024, provided high returns (over 200%) to investors but were perceived as costly for the government.
In FY26, India's gold imports reached $72 billion, a 24% increase from FY25, accounting for over 9% of total imports.
Following the discontinuation of SGBs, investments in gold Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) have surged, necessitating increased gold imports.
Detailed Insights:
The hike in import duties on precious metals has historically had a mixed impact on controlling gold imports, with instances of increased smuggling to meet demand.
SGBs aimed to curb physical gold imports by meeting investment demand through bonds, but the government discontinued the scheme due to the perceived high cost of borrowing.
Despite an expense of nearly Rs 18,000 crore for interest and redemption of SGBs issued from 2015 to 2024-25, it was a small amount compared to the government's overall borrowing.
The FY27 Union Budget restricted capital gains tax exemption only to SGBs held until maturity, impacting bonds traded in the secondary market.
Increased investment in gold ETFs, particularly after the COVID-19 pandemic, has led to record gold imports to back these funds, further straining the import bill.
A structural shift in India's gold demand has been observed, with investment demand comprising nearly 70% of total demand in January-March 2026, while jewellery demand has fallen to around 30%.
Meeting the investment demand for gold is crucial to curb imports and stabilize the rupee, as Indians' affinity for gold and limited domestic supply drive significant imports.
Key Concepts Involved:
Sovereign Gold Bonds (SGBs): Government securities denominated in grams of gold, offering an alternative to holding physical gold.
Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs): Investment funds traded on stock exchanges, holding assets like gold and tracking their price movements.
Import Duty: A tax imposed on goods imported into a country, aimed at increasing their cost and reducing demand.