GS 3: EconomyGS 2: International Relations

A cut in time, Pg 22

Practice MCQs

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  • RBI cut the repo rate by 25 basis points, reducing it to 6%, to stimulate economic activity amid global uncertainties.

  • Signalled a shift from neutral to accommodative stance, allowing room for more cuts.

  • Expected to lower borrowing costs for businesses, homeowners, and retail borrowers.

Impact of U.S.-China Trade War

  • Triggered by President Trumps tariff hikes: 125% on Chinese goods, 10% universal tariff remains.

  • China retaliated with 84% tariffs, echoing protectionist policies similar to the 1930 Smoot-Hawley Act.

  • Indias exporters urged the govt. to expedite bilateral trade talks with the U.S. to shield from fallout.

Growth & Inflation Outlook

  • RBI lowered FY GDP forecast from 6.7% to 6.5%.

  • Retail inflation declined to 3.61%, but food prices fell sharply, raising concerns of deflation.

  • Policy aimed to ensure liquidity and confidence in the economy despite global headwinds.

Trade Barriers vs. Economic Strength

  • Editorial warns against reactionary protectionism.

  • Advocates for building competitive advantages, citing U.S. leadership in research and innovation.

Analysis & Way Forward

  • While monetary easing is welcome, fiscal stimulus and structural reforms are needed to sustain growth.

  • India must diversify exports, negotiate strategic trade agreements, and avoid over-reliance on tariff shielding.

  • Emphasis should remain on stable governance, predictable policies, and leveraging Indias inherent strengths.

Mains Mock Question:

"Discuss the implications of monetary policy changes during global trade uncertainty. How should India balance growth, inflation control, and export competitiveness in this context?"

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