GS 3: EconomyPrelims

India's forex reserves adequate, but comfort 'thinning', Pg14

India's forex reserves at $691 billion, near peak, face adequacy questions amid rising oil prices and rupee depreciation.

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Key Highlights:

  • India's forex reserves stand at $691 billion, close to the peak of $728 billion before the West Asia war.
  • Concerns arise due to high crude oil prices and a significant rupee depreciation since late February.
  • RBI's net short forward book of $103 billion raises questions about the adequacy of reserves.

Detailed Insights:

  • The forex reserves serve as a buffer against external shocks, like rising oil prices and currency fluctuations.
  • A large net short forward book indicates future obligations, potentially reducing the readily available forex reserves.
  • Maintaining adequate forex reserves is crucial for investor confidence and macroeconomic stability.

Key Concepts Involved:

  • Forex Reserves: A country's holdings of foreign currencies and other assets.
  • Rupee Depreciation: A decrease in the value of the Indian rupee relative to other currencies.
  • Net Short Forward Book: The difference between a central bank's forward sales and purchases of foreign currency.
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