GS 3: EconomyPrelims

World trade to grow 2.4%: WTO, Pg22.

WTO forecasts global merchandise trade growth at 2.4% for 2024, slowing to 0.5% in 2025 due to tariffs.

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Key Highlights:

  • The World Trade Organization (WTO) projects a 2.4% growth in global merchandise trade for this year.
  • Trade growth is expected to slow to 0.5% next year.
  • The WTO anticipates a further slowdown in trade growth in 2026 due to a cooling global economy and new tariffs.

Detailed Insights:

  • The WTO's forecast indicates a significant deceleration in trade growth compared to previous years, reflecting global economic uncertainties.
  • New tariffs and ongoing geopolitical tensions are expected to further dampen trade activity in the coming years.
  • These projections highlight the need for countries to diversify trade relationships and strengthen domestic economies to mitigate the impact of global slowdowns.

Key Concepts Involved:

  • Global Merchandise Trade: The exchange of physical goods between countries.
  • Tariffs: Taxes imposed on imported goods, increasing their cost.
  • WTO Forecast: Predictions made by the World Trade Organization regarding trade trends.
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