GS 3: EconomyPrelims

Why silver prices surfed a 160% wave in 2025, Pg10

Silver prices skyrocket 160% in 2025 amid supply shortages, US tariffs, and growing industrial demand from AI and green sectors.

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Key Highlights:

  • Silver prices surged by over 160% in 2025 and continued to rise in the first week of 2026 by more than 7%.
  • The price increase is driven by silver's use in manufacturing, particularly in batteries, solar panels, and artificial intelligence applications.
  • The United States added silver to its list of critical minerals in November, influencing government financing and tariff reviews.
  • China's new rare metals export restrictions, effective from January 1, include silver, raising concerns among users.

Detailed Insights:

  • Silver's demand is fueled by its crucial role in industries like AI, requiring it for smartgrid infrastructure and data transmission.
  • The US Geological Survey (USGS) added silver to the critical minerals list after refining its analysis of supply chain disruptions and economic impacts.
  • Stockpiling of silver in the US increased significantly due to tariff fears, with inventories rising to 531 million ounces in late September.
  • Shortages of physical silver in markets like London led to price spikes, particularly around Diwali in October.
  • Increased investment in silver ETFs in India contributed to price increases, with inflows in September 2025 reaching Rs 5,342 crore.
  • Some mutual funds temporarily paused fresh investments in silver ETFs due to high domestic prices compared to international benchmarks.
  • The rise in silver prices is part of a broader trend of increasing commodity prices, including copper, driven by US tariffs and shortages.

Key Concepts Involved:

  • Critical Minerals: Minerals essential to the economy and national security, subject to supply chain vulnerabilities.
  • Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs): Investment funds that track the price of an asset, such as silver or gold, and trade on stock exchanges.
  • Debasement Trade: Buying assets like precious metals and cryptocurrencies to protect against the weakening of a currency.
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