India anticipates a hotter summer and plans to increase reliance on coal-based power to meet peak demand, despite gas supply constraints due to the West Asia conflict.
The government has directed Tata Power to operate its 4 GW imported coal-based plant in Gujarat at full capacity starting April 1, after it remained idle for six months.
The government is monitoring thermal and hydro projects slated for commissioning by June 2026, expecting to add about 10,000 MW of capacity from April to June 2026.
Experts warn that increased coal reliance may lead to renewable energy curtailment, especially solar, due to the operational inflexibility of coal plants.
Detailed Insights:
Gas-based power, though a small part of India's energy mix, is crucial during non-solar hours, with nearly 10 GW capacity used in high-demand summer months.
The government aims to compensate for reduced gas-based generation using coal, renewables, and energy storage, but coal plants' inflexibility could hinder renewable energy integration.
Coal-based power dominates India's electricity generation, contributing over 70%, while gas contributes only around 1-2%.
Between May and November of last year, India's grid operator curtailed as much as 23 GW of renewable energy to maintain grid safety and stability.
Minimum Technical Load (MTL) is the lowest stable generation level for thermal units; a lower MTL is essential to accommodate renewable energy.
Renewable energy curtailment is driven by grid-security considerations, especially high frequency, state underdrawal, and transmission congestion, particularly in states like Rajasthan and Gujarat.
Key Concepts Involved:
Renewable Energy Curtailment: Reduction of renewable energy output due to grid constraints or oversupply.
Minimum Technical Load (MTL): The lowest level at which a power plant can operate stably without shutting down.
Grid Stability: Maintaining a consistent frequency and voltage on the electricity grid to prevent blackouts.