GS 2: International RelationsGS 3: Economy

As India-China direct flights resume, who stands to gain?, Pg16.

India and China resume direct flights after five-year suspension, boosting airlines and signaling improved relations amid geopolitical shifts.

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Key Highlights:

  • Direct flights between India and mainland China are set to resume by the end of October 2025, after a five-year suspension.
  • IndiGo will initiate daily flights from Kolkata to Guangzhou starting October 26, 2025.
  • Air India plans to launch flights from Delhi to Shanghai before the end of 2025.
  • The resumption follows discussions between Indian and Chinese officials throughout 2024, including meetings at the G20 Summit and between aviation ministers.

Detailed Insights:

  • Direct flights were initially suspended due to the Covid-19 pandemic and further delayed by strained relations following the Line of Actual Control (LAC) standoff in 2020.
  • The resumption of flights is expected to increase competition among airlines, potentially leading to lower airfares and more travel options for passengers.
  • In 2019, direct flights accounted for over 45% of passenger traffic between India and China, with Chinese airlines holding a larger market share.
  • Airlines from Singapore, Hong Kong, Thailand, Malaysia, and Vietnam benefited from the suspension by serving as connecting hubs for India-China travel.
  • The Hong Kong airport, while a leading connecting hub, operates under a different visa regime than mainland China due to its special autonomous status.
  • In December 2019, there were 539 scheduled direct flights per month offering a seat capacity of over 1.25 lakh, with Indian carriers operating 168 of those flights.
  • The privatized and well-capitalized Air India, along with IndiGo, are now positioned to compete more effectively in the international market.

Key Concepts Involved:

  • Line of Actual Control (LAC): The de facto border between India and China.
  • Bilateral Relations: Diplomatic, economic, and cultural relationships between two countries.
  • Market Share: The percentage of a market controlled by a specific company or product.
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