GS 2: International Relations

Understanding geopolitical factors behind India’s silence over Khamenei death, Pg11

India's strategic silence on Khamenei's death reflects complex geopolitical balancing act amid US sanctions, ties with Israel and Gulf nations.

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Key Highlights:

  • The Indian government faced criticism for its silence following the killing of Iran's Supreme Leader Khamenei.
  • Despite External Affairs Minister Jaishankar's call with his Iranian counterpart Abbas Araghchi, no condolence message was issued.
  • India's decision is influenced by complex geopolitics, strained relations with Iran, and Khamenei's criticism of India's policies.
  • India's trade with Iran has decreased from $17 billion in 2018 to $1.68 billion in 2025 due to U.S. sanctions.

Detailed Insights:

  • India's growing security relationship with Israel, highlighted by Modi's visit to Jerusalem, signals a shift in regional balance.
  • U.S. sanctions on Iran have significantly weakened India-Iran ties, leading to a halt in oil imports and investments.
  • Khamenei's past criticism of India's Kashmir policy and comments on the Delhi riots have strained relations.
  • India's silence is also attributed to the need to maintain strong ties with Gulf countries like the UAE and Saudi Arabia, where millions of Indians reside.
  • The strengthening defence partnership with the UAE and restored trade ties with the U.S. further influence India's cautious approach.

Key Concepts Involved:

  • Geopolitics: The study of the influence of geography on international relations and foreign policy.
  • Sanctions: Economic penalties imposed by a country or group of countries against a target entity.
  • Pax Silica: A U.S. initiative to create a secure supply chain for critical technologies, including India.
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