GS 2: International RelationsGS 3: Internal SecurityPrelims

It is not all bad between India and Pakistan, Pg12

Despite terror and conflict, India and Pakistan exhibit surprising historical restraint and quiet cooperation, sparking debate on renewed dialogue amidst recent tensions.

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Key Highlights:

  • A letter from 117 eminent Indians and Pakistanis has reignited debate on dialogue, despite the recent Pahalgam horror (2025).
  • Historically, both India and Pakistan demonstrated restraint during their three wars (1947, 1965, 1971), largely avoiding civilian targets.
  • Instances of quiet cooperation include Indian intelligence support to Pakistan in 2003 and the continued Nuclear Confidence-Building Agreement (2005).
  • The 2022 accidental missile firing by India was met with notable restraint from Pakistan, and a ceasefire commitment was reaffirmed during General Bajwa's tenure.
  • Terrorism, particularly the Pahalgam attack, is identified as the primary obstacle to improved bilateral relations.
  • Potential areas for future cooperation include glacial melt, stubble-burning alternatives, and narcotics trafficking.

Detailed Insights:

  • During their conflicts, India and Pakistan primarily targeted military installations, a contrast to the "area bombing" tactics seen in World War II.
  • After the 26/11 Mumbai attacks, then-President Asif Ali Zardari's attempt to send the ISI Chief to Delhi for cooperation was reportedly refused.
  • Indian Prime Ministers Atal Bihari Vajpayee, Manmohan Singh, and Narendra Modi all invested political capital in outreach to Pakistan, facing varied outcomes.
  • The Nuclear Confidence-Building Agreement (2005), which includes annual exchanges of lists of nuclear installations, remains active and was last reviewed in January 2026.
  • General Qamar Bajwa advocated for leveraging Pakistan's geo-economic potential by opening trade corridors with India, possibly influenced by Pakistan's economic challenges.
  • A ceasefire commitment was reaffirmed during General Bajwa's leadership, even amid Galwan incursions and India's abrogation of Article 370 in 2019.
  • Pakistan has faced internal security challenges as groups it once supported, such as the Taliban, have turned against it.
  • Cooperation in areas like narcotics trafficking has historical precedents, suggesting a pathway for future collaboration if support for terrorism ceases.

Key Concepts Involved:

  • Pahalgam horror (2025): A terrorist attack in April 2025 in Jammu and Kashmir, which killed 26 civilians, mostly tourists, and significantly heightened India-Pakistan tensions.
  • Nuclear Confidence-Building Agreement (2005): A bilateral agreement between India and Pakistan aimed at reducing the risk of accidental nuclear conflict, including provisions for pre-notification of ballistic missile tests.
  • Indus Waters Treaty: A water-sharing treaty signed in 1960 between India and Pakistan, brokered by the World Bank, governing the distribution of the Indus River system's waters.
  • Article 370: A provision in the Indian Constitution that granted special autonomous status to Jammu and Kashmir, which was abrogated by the Indian government in 2019.
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